MW
Michael Woolfolk
58quotes
Quotes by Michael Woolfolk
Michael Woolfolk's insights on:
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The market is happy with the number as it shows strength in Canada's economic growth. Investors are willing to buy the Canadian dollar.
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The market took this to mean that there is a 100 percent chance that interest rates will be increased at the next meeting and a 75 percent chance at the meeting after that.
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The current account deficit has grown to a point where it arguably cannot be corrected by US action alone.
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The door will be left open for future rate hikes but the Fed will be increasingly data-dependent. That's positive for the U.S. dollar.
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The dollar rally after the non-farm payrolls report underscores the continued importance of labor market tightness with respect to interest rate expectations.
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The dollar will remain supported for the time being so long as central banks overseas continue to intervene to keep their currencies weak against the U.S. dollar.
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The hike in March is fully priced in. The hike in May is over 80% priced in. There is already talk of continued hikes after that. Interest rate differentials globally are increasingly favoring the U.S. and it's positive for the dollar.
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This has had a psychological effect on the markets. For those of us left in the office, we're just watching to see just how high the 10-year will go today.
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These are ideal conditions for speculators to push spot prices around. The dollar appears to be testing new lows against the yen. The price movements are not supported by fundamentals.
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Interest rate differentials are supporting the U.S. dollar for the time being. Until the Fed pauses, it looks that's going to provide support for dollar bulls.
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